As it turns out, Jeb Bush won’t run for Florida’s open Senate seat in 2010:
“After thoughtful consideration, I have decided not to run for the United States Senate in 2010,” said Bush. “While the opportunity to serve my state and country during these turbulent and dynamic times is compelling, now is not the right time to return to elected office.”
Bush’s decision robs Republicans of a top-tier recruit who would have immediately been favored to hold Martinez’s seat. Without Bush in the race, Republicans are almost certain to play host to a crowded and competitive primary.
This is surprising–I figured Jeb would run in order to keep his path to the Presidency open.
Then again, he might have a better shot at the White House if he stays out of elected office; no matter what, Bush will always have two relatively-successful terms as Florida’s Governor under his belt. On the other hand, if he became a Senator there would be a lot of votes and speeches for a potential future challenger to use against him.
In Kansas, Senator Sam Brownback–who isn’t running for re-election in 2010–will instead run to succeed current Governor Kathleen Sebelius, who will be term-limited out of office.
And interestingly enough, Sebelius is considered a strong candidate to succeed Brownback in the Senate. So, come 2011, Brownback and Sebelius might end up simply swapping offices.