AK-SEN, MN-SEN & GA-SEN (UPDATED!)

AK-SEN: Democrat Mark Begich now leads convicted felon Ted Stevens by 1,022 votes.  Alaska’s election division has said they will most likely finish counting all the outstanding votes tomorrow; at this point, it’s hard to see how Stevens can pull this one out. It looks like Mark Begich will be heading to Washington in January.

MN-SEN: Democrat Al Franken’s camp is trying to determine why a slew of absentee ballots were rejected from; until that’s decided, they’re pushing the state not to certify the vote, which is set to happen on Wednesday.  Marc Elias–lead recount attorney for the Franken campaign–said that, until the absentee ballot situation is resolved, “I don’t think that they have a vote count to certify.”

Franken is also huddling with the Senate Democratic leadership tomorrow.

GA-SEN: While former Senator Zell Miller is campaigning for incumbent Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss, former President Bill Clinton–who turned Georgia blue in 1992–will be campaigning for Democrat Jim Martin.

Martin also has an ad out hitting Chambliss for his role in the failing economy:

UPDATE: Some good news about Minnesota:

Professor Michael C. Herron of Dartmouth College, has put together a new study of the voting patterns in Minnesota, in the process determining that the majority of voters who cast unrecorded ballots in the Senate race were likely Franken supporters.

“If someone put a gun to my head and said, ‘You have to bet,’ I would bet Franken,” Herron said, when reached by phone. “It won’t be a wipe-out. Two hundred votes is effectively tied. We just know that, in this case, Democrats tend to [screw up their ballots] more often [than Republicans].” In Minnesota, the “intent” of the voter is considered during recounts.

[…]

In other words, there are probably somewhere between 8,000 and 10,000 Minnesota voters who had clear problems filling out a ballot and likely voted in the Senate race. Many of these individuals, moreover, hailed from Democratic communities.

“Ultimately, the anticipated recount may clarify the relative proportions of intentional versus unintentional residual voters,” writes Herron. “At present, though, the data available suggest that the recount will uncover many of the former and that, of the latter, a majority will likely prove to be supportive of Franken.”

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