After I declared Obama the winner of Friday’s debate, one commenter told me to check the polls come Monday.
Well, happy Monday!
McCain now has a net unfavorable rating among Inds. Just 43% have a favorable impression of the GOP nominee, while 46% have an unfavorable impression. One week ago — in the survey completed 9/20 — his fav/unfav among Inds was 51%/36%.
And the AZ Sen.’s trouble with Inds extends to the WH matchup. Obama leads the group, which makes up 19% of today’s Diageo/Hotline sample, by a commanding 52-29% margin. One week ago, McCain held a 40-39% advantage
Obama-Biden: 325.5 EV
McCain-Palin: 212.5 EV
There is a 64.35% chance Obama will win all the Kerry states.
There is a 65.88% chance Obama will win VA but lose OH
There is a 71.68% chance Obama will win CO but lose OH
There is a 54.48% chance Obama will lose OH but still win the election
There is a 25.54% chance of an Obama landslide (375+ EV)
Obama-Biden: 286 EV
Obama-Biden: 229 EV
McCain-Palin: 174 EV
Toss Up: 135 EV
Of the toss up states, Obama is currently winning PA, MN & CO; NH is tied. If you add up the states Obama is currently winning, he has 269 electoral votes.
UPDATE: Let’s not forget LA Times/Bloomberg:
The Illinois senator extended his advantage to 49% to 44%, compared with last week, when the same respondents gave him a 48% to 45% edge.
Obama was seen as more “presidential” by 46% of debate-watchers, compared with 33% for the Arizona senator.
The difference is even more pronounced among debate-watchers who were not firmly committed to a candidate: 44% said they believed Obama looked more presidential, whereas 16% gave McCain the advantage.
The Republican candidate also has lost ground on several measures of voter confidence, including trust.